Market overview: The global IPO landscape
Rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty put the brakes on new IPO activity across global markets in 2023. However, after a challenging period, the outlook for IPO activity in 2024 is improving
Global IPO markets endured a difficult 2023 in the face of rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty. But after a challenging 12 months, the outlook for IPO activity in 2024 is brightening
This past year has been one of the most challenging years for the global IPO markets since the 2008 global financial crisis.
Rising interest rates constrained liquidity, investors were cautious and choppy stock market valuations caused potential IPO candidates to put their listing ambitions on hold, hoping that market conditions would improve.
Regulatory changes are also a concern. For example, the US Securities and Exchange Commission has recently adopted new climate-related disclosure rules for listed companies. While these rules have been stayed pending judicial review, issuers worry that this type of rulemaking will increase compliance costs and discourage some companies from pursuing IPOs.
However, there have been some bright spots. India took center stage as one of the world's most active stock markets for new listings due to its thriving domestic economy. In the second half of 2023, the US stock exchanges showed renewed promise with a limited number of high-profile, cross-border listings. Moreover, London and Hong Kong forged ahead with changes to listings frameworks that will open up new opportunities when markets rebound.
There are signs that a rebound in IPO volume is in the cards for this year, with interest rates peaking and stock markets around the world rallying during the early months of 2024. There have already been 290 IPOs globally in Q1 2024, with a combined deal value of US$23.02 billion.
Although interest rates remain elevated and geopolitical risk continues to loom large, there is a building sense of confidence among investors, advisers and companies that after a challenging year, better days lie ahead for IPOs in 2024 and beyond.
Rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty put the brakes on new IPO activity across global markets in 2023. However, after a challenging period, the outlook for IPO activity in 2024 is improving
US IPO markets have been lackluster during the past 24 months, but, as interest rates stabilize and stock valuations recover, the backdrop for US IPOs in 2024 is improving
Stakeholders across London's capital markets are ready to seize the opportunity to reform and reenergize IPO activity in one of the world's most important financial centers
India's stock exchanges saw more IPOs than any other jurisdiction, as its strong domestic economy buoyed markets
Hong Kong is adapting to changes amid challenging times
After a dry spell, the pipeline of Brazilian IPO candidates is showing signs of filling up again
After a slow 12 months, issuers and investors in Sweden and the CIS are hopeful that their IPO markets can punch above their weight in the year ahead
Global IPO markets have had a comparatively positive start to 2024 after a challenging year. Investors and IPO candidates hope that stable interest rates and pent-up demand will support an increasing flow of IPO activity in the months ahead
Global IPO markets have had a comparatively positive start to 2024 after a challenging year. Investors and IPO candidates hope that stable interest rates and pent-up demand will support an increasing flow of IPO activity in the months ahead
There is no escaping that 2023 was challenging for global IPO markets. Last year, our Global IPO Report anticipated that rising interest rates and uncertainty about the inflationary outlook would have an adverse impact on IPO activity. In 2024, as interest rates stabilize and macroeconomic conditions improve, IPO volumes are set to recover. Businesses that have been on the defensive are gradually shifting their strategic focus back to growth and eyeing IPOs to fund their plans. And private equity firms are lining up IPO candidates to start to clear the backlog of unexited assets that have accumulated during the past two years.
Moreover, IPO candidates in select jurisdictions will benefit from the steps taken by regulators to make their listings regimes more attractive, with investors and businesses welcoming the reforms in the UK and Hong Kong, as their aim is to attract more IPOs.
No one is getting carried away. However, after a tough 2023, it is safe to say that global IPO markets are in a much stronger position today than a year ago.
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