US M&A hits record highs
The US enjoyed record levels of M&A activity in H1 2021, as dealmakers made up for lost time caused by pandemic-related disruptions
US M&A surged to record levels in the face of pandemic-related challenges and potentially dramatic regulatory shifts
We are just heading into August, but it is already safe to say that 2021 is a historic year for US M&A. Deal value rose to a new high of US$1.27 trillion in H1 2021. This was a 324 percent increase compared to H1 2020—and was virtually equivalent to the total value recorded in all of 2020.
This torrent of deals was the result of a perfect storm of activity on the part of strategic, PE and SPAC dealmakers. The pandemic drove many corporates to offload non-core divisions and acquire digital capabilities. Corporates that thrived during the pandemic used M&A to consolidate gains. PE firms strove to deploy their massive troves of dry powder. And SPACs searched for opportunities to invest the record levels of funds they raised.
The election of Joe Biden as President significantly reduced political uncertainty that may have dampened activity in 2020 and this spurred dealmaking in 2021. However, the administration's policies could also complicate dealmaking.
The Biden Administration is taking vigorous steps to reshape antitrust policies and practices in the US. In July, the President issued an Executive Order to promote competition and lower prices throughout the economy through increased antitrust enforcement. These efforts are likely to intensify during the run-up to the US midterm elections in November 2022. The effects were already visible in the recent decision by Aon and Willis Towers Watson to call off their merger, which they first announced in March 2020. The deal would have created the world's largest insurance broker, but the Department of Justice opposed the deal on the grounds that it would eliminate competition, reduce innovation and lead to higher prices.
CFIUS has shown that it will mostly continue with the more aggressive approach to evaluating deals for national security concerns that was established by the previous administration. And with the appointment of Gary Gensler as Chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, the administration signaled it will take a more aggressive approach to securities law enforcement.
There are a number of other looming risks as well. The possibility of rising inflation and the end of government support measures related to the pandemic could shock the market. And dealmakers are concerned about potentially frothy valuations.
But perhaps the greatest variable remains the uncertain trajectory of the pandemic. Though the US was on a course of increasing optimism as vaccines were rolled out, recent concerns about the Delta variant of COVID-19 have raised questions—and exacerbated political divisions—about how quickly economies should open up.
Despite these challenges, the outlook for dealmaking remains very positive. US GDP forecasts are upbeat, stock markets are at historic highs, and interests remain low. Moreover, the Biden Administration's economic stimulus efforts and ambitious plans for energy transition and infrastructure development will inject large sums of capital into the economy. We expect US M&A to remain very active in the second half of 2021.
The US enjoyed record levels of M&A activity in H1 2021, as dealmakers made up for lost time caused by pandemic-related disruptions
US private equity has rallied following pandemic lockdowns, thanks to adaptations to remote deal processes and record dry powder
TMT M&A tops the sector charts again
After a year of volatility, the oil & gas industry has stabilized and M&A activity has resumed
Technology M&A activity is thriving in 2021 as dealmakers continue to turn to the sector in search of assets with high-quality earnings and growth prospects
The value of healthcare M&A in H1 surpassed pre-pandemic levels
Deals in the consumer and retail sector show signs of recovery as consumer spending
rallies post-pandemic
The power and renewables industry is positioned for a sustained period of strong deal
activity as the US focuses on hitting net zero carbon emissions by 2050
M&A value among real estate firms quadrupled year-on-year in H1, after a tough 2020
After a pause, investment in infrastructure has ballooned, even before the Biden administration's US$1 trillion-plus plan is passed
After campaigning for the presidency on a platform that included more aggressive antitrust enforcement, Joe Biden has taken early steps to honor those pledges
President Joe Biden's approach to the national security risks posed by foreignbacked M&A may differ in style from his predecessor, but not in substance
Even as economies pick up, dealmakers have maintained focus on managing the risk of broken deals
New Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler has put scrutiny of
SPACs and private funds at the top of his agenda
In the first half of 2021, Delaware courts issued several decisions affecting M&A dealmaking
After a turbulent 18 months which saw M&A crash before an impressive return to form, H2 2021 is set for continued strong deal activity, as well as new challenges
Deals in the consumer and retail sector show signs of recovery as consumer spending rallies post-pandemic
Stay current on global M&A activity
The consumer and retail sector has had a turbulent year. Some sub-sectors, including non-essential and physical retail, were heavily impacted by lockdowns, while other verticals, including essential consumer goods, convenience and online-powered retailers, have thrived.
A more stable backdrop over the past six months, however, is helping most consumer verticals to thrive across the board. US consumer spending increased by 11.3 percent over the first quarter of Q1 2021, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the Dow Jones US Consumer Goods Index is up by just under 40 percent over the past 12 months, following steep declines in Q1 2020.
With clearer visibility on future company earnings and indicators pointing to stronger consumer spending, there has been greater appetite for M&A transactions in the consumer space. Volume in H1 2021 has come in at 248 deals, generating aggregate deal value of US$52 billion. This represents a 29 percent rise in volume from H1 2020, with value climbing 158 percent over the same period. H1 2021 consumer deal numbers also represent an increase on pre-pandemic levels, with deal value for the first half of the year 51 percent above total value in H1 2019.
Reviving private equity interest in the consumer space has been especially prominent, with buyout firms noting the more stable consumer backdrop and opportunities to invest at attractive valuations.
The largest US consumer deal of the year saw BDT Capital Partners acquire water filtration company Culligan International from Advent International in a secondary buyout worth US$6 billion.
Water treatment and filtration providers have been popular private equity targets. Culligan generates close to two-thirds of its revenues from monthly service contracts, which reflects how private equity firms are sifting through the consumer space to find assets with stable recurring earnings and predictable cash flows.
Buyout firms have also moved to invest in assets expected to benefit from anticipated long-term shifts in consumer behavior post- COVID-19. Apollo, for example, paid US$4.4 billion to take arts and crafts retailer Michaels private. Michaels recorded double-digit sales growth through the pandemic period as consumers turned to decorating and crafts while stuck at home. Apollo expects this trend to continue. The deal is also expected to support Michaels, which has a physical store network of 1,200 sites, as it builds out its digital capability.
Consumer dealmaking has also been strong in the food, health and nutrition sub-sectors, which are also characterized by stable earnings. Food and drink multinational Nestlé acquired the vitamin and supplements brands of The Bountiful Company in a US$5.8 billion deal from private equity firm KKR. The deal builds out Nestlé’s health and nutrition portfolio, which is a key growth area for the group.
Other food deals include Hormel Foods buying Kraft Heinz’s nuts business and Total Produce buying the remaining 55 percent stake it did not already own in agrifood business Dole.
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